---
title: 'Patterns: Comparand Blog guides'
url: https://comparand.xyz/blog/topic/patterns
description: Every Comparand Blog guide about patterns.
updated: '2026-10-21'
---

# Patterns

- [Best timeframe for crypto? 1-hour vs 4-hour vs daily data](https://comparand.xyz/blog/timeframe-1h-vs-4h-vs-daily-chart.md): On Binance Bitcoin the typical candle ranged 0.64% on 1-hour, 1.35% on 4-hour and 3.74% on daily charts. Wicks, green share and noise compared.
- [Bitcoin 200-day moving average: what came next, above vs below](https://comparand.xyz/blog/bitcoin-200-day-moving-average.md): Coinbase Bitcoin was higher 90 days later 66.79% of the time after a close above its 200-day average, 48.64% after one below. See 10 more coins.
- [Bitcoin Sunday pump, Monday dump: does the pattern hold?](https://comparand.xyz/blog/sunday-pump-monday-dump.md): After an up Sunday, Coinbase Bitcoin fell on Monday 54.03% of the time vs 48.55% for any Monday. See other coins, each year and the weekend move.
- [Do breakouts work in crypto? 20-day highs tested](https://comparand.xyz/blog/do-breakouts-work-crypto.md): On 10 Binance perps, 39.83% of daily 20-day-high breakouts fell back in 3 days. Ten days on, the average gain was 6.26%, but the middle case was 1.53%.
- [Does Bitcoin always fill CME gaps? A spot-price test](https://comparand.xyz/blog/does-bitcoin-fill-cme-gaps.md): Coinbase Bitcoin returned to its Friday price within 3 days after 71.81% of weekends, but a same-distance level was touched about as often.
- [Does RSI below 30 work in crypto? 10 coins tested](https://comparand.xyz/blog/rsi-oversold-crypto-backtest.md): After RSI first fell below 30, 10 Binance coins rose a day later 54.27% of the time, but the average move matched normal hours. See fees and years.
- [Does volume confirm a crypto breakout? 1,411 tested](https://comparand.xyz/blog/does-volume-confirm-breakouts.md): On 10 Binance perps, high-volume daily breakouts rose 9.15% on average over 10 days vs 5.26% on normal volume. The medians were far smaller.
- [Golden cross and death cross: every Bitcoin case measured](https://comparand.xyz/blog/golden-cross-death-cross-bitcoin-results.md): Coinbase Bitcoin was higher 90 days after 7 of 8 golden crosses, but only 8 cases exist. See each cross, 10 more coins, and a rule after fees.
- [How many candles for pattern matching? Chart length matters](https://comparand.xyz/blog/chart-window-length-matters.md): We changed chart length from 24 to 48 to 96 hourly candles for Bitcoin and Ethereum. Most past matches changed, and no length won everywhere.
- [How much do trading fees hurt a crypto backtest? We tested](https://comparand.xyz/blog/crypto-trading-fees-backtest-impact.md): A Bitcoin rule that trades about 210 times a year went from 27.52% to 3.41% a year as fees rose. The daily version barely changed. See the table.
- [How to tell if crypto is trending or ranging: 3 measures](https://comparand.xyz/blog/market-regime-trending-or-ranging.md): Three simple regime measures on Binance Bitcoin by year: variance ratio, days above the 200-day average, and daily range. What each shows and misses.
- [Look-ahead bias backtest example: one timing bug](https://comparand.xyz/blog/look-ahead-bias-backtest-example.md): One timing bug turned a losing hourly Bitcoin rule into a fake winner: Sharpe −8.00 became 59.41. See how it happens and how to check your test.
- [Overfitting in trading backtests: we tested 1,000 random rules](https://comparand.xyz/blog/overfitting-1000-random-trading-rules.md): We picked the best of 1,000 random Bitcoin rules: +155.22% after fees in training, then −51.72% on later dates. Here is what overfitting looks like.
- [Similar crypto charts, different outcomes: how often?](https://comparand.xyz/blog/when-past-crypto-cases-disagree.md): In 3,600 tests on 12 crypto markets, the 10 closest past charts split 4 to 6 up in 62.72% of cases a day later. What a split does and does not show.
- [Walk-forward analysis explained with a real crypto test](https://comparand.xyz/blog/walk-forward-testing-explained.md): Walk-forward testing checks a method one step at a time, using only past data. Rolling vs anchored windows, and a Bitcoin test scored year by year.
- [Why do crypto candles have long wicks? 62,357 candles measured](https://comparand.xyz/blog/crypto-long-wicks-explained-data.md): In 61.82% of Binance Bitcoin's hourly candles, the wicks together were longer than the body. See wick sizes for 12 markets and busy vs quiet years.